MAN VS MACHINE SUPER CLASICO EDITION: ODDS, MONEYLINES, AND MORE
The Clasico Nacional is coming up fast and hundreds of bets are being made by fans at betting sites and against friends and foes. With that in mind, we will look at some of the bets that are out there and will introduce a new way of predicting games and matching that up against human predictions.
THE PROGNOSTICATOR
Yes, I’m going full Marvel and calling my opposition The Great Prognosticator or TGP.
TGP uses computer formulas and results from past games to predict Liga MX games. With that formula The Great Prognosticator produced these numbers:
| AGUILAS | DRAW | CHIVAS | |
| ODDS | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| EXPECTED GOALS | 1.11 | 1.7 | 1.18 |
| MONEY LINE | +155 | +180 | +165 |
SCORE RESULTS
| AGUILAS | CHIVAS | RESULT PROBABILITY |
| 0 | 0 | 10% |
| 1 | 0 | 11% |
| 0 | 1 | 12% |
| 1 | 1 | 13% |
Going with that data TGP’s Parlay would be as follows, Chivas @+180, Total Goals Under 2.5 @-157, and a correct score of 1-0 to Chivas @+700. Since it is the Clasico we will up our bet to $100 and with that the payout will be $850. Although the highest probable score TGP produced was a 1-1 draw Draftkings would not allow a Chivas Win and draw score line to be placed.
My Parlay
So now for my picks. While the numbers I have are not that different from TGP’s I read them a different way. Current form would indicate America are coming into the Clasico in a much better position than Chivas but not by much.I have Las Aguilas with a 39% chance of winning to Chivas 32%. In addition, this year America ranks 4th in Overall XG at 1.57, and 4th again in Away XG at 1.37. El Rebano for their part come in ninth in Overall XG with a 1.36, and 11th in Home XG with 1.39.
| AGUILAS | DRAW | CHIVAS | |
| ODDS | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| EXPECTED GOALS | 1.57 | 1.46 | 1.35 |
| MONEY LINE | +170 | +200 | +180 |
As a result of this information I’m going with an America victory @+170, a Score line over 2.5 @+117, and the exact score 2-1 to Las Aguilas @+850. If my parlay is successful, a $100 bet would result in a $1000 payout!
Good Luck and Good Betting!
This article is intended for entertainment purposes. We are not professional gamblers nor betting advisers. Please play responsibly. If you or anyone you know has a gambling addiction, please seek help by calling 1-800-522-4700.
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